The volatility of Nigeria’s foreign
exchange market seems to be heading towards the 2015 crisis era as the naira
has further depreciated to N450 to a dollar in the parallel market
The liquidity crisis in the foreign
exchange market seems to be getting worse as the price at which the dealers buy
the dollar has moved from N412 to a dollar to N428 to a dollar within the last
3 days.
However, the pounds sterling appears
to still be stable at N500 to one pound as at the time of this report.
The huge crash in crude oil prices globally has caused
a serious liquidity crisis in the foreign exchange market as about 90% of
Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings and about 70% of the country’s revenue is
from oil.
This
has put further pressure on the country’s external reserves as it has depleted
to about $33.8 billion as of April 22, 2020.
The
demand for the dollar far outweighs the
supply as importers and speculators struggle for the little that is in
circulation. Even the liquidity crisis is affecting the foreign investors, who
are trapped in Nigeria’s debt market after selling their local currency
securities in March. They are unable to get dollars to repatriate their
proceeds.
This
situation is further compounded by the suspension of sales of dollars to Bureau
De Change (BDCs) operators.